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Cybercab正式定档!自动驾驶赛道迎来新催化 这7股业绩倍增可期(名单)_我的网站

太阳耀斑

一 |     Following Hamas' attack on Israel, the United States has sent a clear message of deterrence to prevent the conflict from spreading.To "anyone thinking of taking advantage of this situation," President Joe Biden said during an address on Tuesday, "I have one word: Don't."The rhetoric has since been repeated by others in the administration, with National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan telling reporters that they believe militia groups across the region "pose an urgent threat" and could "choose to try to exploit" the situation.On ABC News Live at 8:30 p.m. on Thursday, Oct. 12, ABC News' James Longman, Matt Gutman and Ian Pannell look at the horrendous toll from Hamas' massacre, the Israelis and Palestinians caught in the middle and what comes next."We have been sending clear warnings that doing so will result in a firm response and consequences from the United States," Sullivan said Tuesday.National Security Council spokesman John Kirby told reporters Wednesday there's a "long list of actors in the region that are hostile to Israel," including Hezbollah, the Iran-backed Lebanese militant group.The administration has also offered its full support to Israel, with Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin telling reporters in Brussels on Thursday that the U.S. is not placing conditions on the military aid it's providing to Israel. The U.S. additionally moved a carrier strike group into the eastern Mediterranean as part of its deterrence measures."We're sending a loud and clear message: The United States is ready to take action should any actor hostile to Israel consider trying to escalate or widen this war," Kirby said Wednesday.How impactful those gestures will be on the raging war remains uncertain. The U.S. has limited leverage in the region, though does need to be careful to not further escalate the conflict, foreign policy experts said. The Biden administration is also likely keen to not get heavily involved, experts said."If Hezbollah or the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps or some other militant group from a neighboring country decides to get involved and attack Israel at this time, I don't think the United States is going to do anything more than it's currently doing -- which is offering Israel whatever it needs to defend itself," Ralph Carter, a professor of political science at Texas Christian University, told ABC News.Biden has historically been "cautious" in sending U.S. troops into battle, Carter said. "His experience in Washington over 40 years or more suggests that once you start something like that, you have no idea where it's going to end."Kirby said Thursday that there are no active plans or intentions to send U.S. troops to join a potential ground war in Israel and Gaza. The U.S. has deployed its largest carrier group, the USS Gerald R. Ford, to the region as an act of deterrence, officials said."The United States has moved military assets in the region, but I really do find it doubtful that the Biden administration really wants to get heavily involved militarily," Russell Lucas, a professor of international relations and global studies at Michigan State University, told ABC News.Israel's powerful military is also capable of defending itself against Hamas and other militant groups, experts noted, which may limit what it needs from the U.S. and act as another deterrent."The requirements on the U.S. defense industry I think are maybe not as heavy as they might be if we were talking about a weaker ally," Adria Lawrence, the Aronson Associate Professor of International Studies and Political Science at Johns Hopkins University, said during a public briefing on the conflict.In recent days there have been some limited military engagements on Israel's northern border with Lebanon, though Hezbollah may be deterred from getting drawn into a larger conflict with Israel, experts said."They will pay dearly for entering the conflict," Lucas said. "I think most actors [in the region] know that at the end of the day, the most military-capable actor is Israel, so there is a deterrence factor."Given Israel's known military prowess, the Biden administration's rhetoric may be stronger than necessary, Lucas said."I think it's more the Biden administration is aiming especially at the domestic audience -- trying to reassert that kind of bully pulpit of the commander-in-chief role, especially in the face of perhaps critiques from the Republican Party that Biden isn't strong enough," he said.At the same time, the U.S. does need to be careful about making any threats, experts said."Words matter and if President Biden's making a commitment and making kind of an implicit threat, he needs to remember the risks that are inherent in making a red line," Lucas said. "President Obama's red line in Syria -- do not use chemical weapons -- that was then not followed up was viewed as one of Obama's biggest foreign policy failures."Sarah Parkinson, the Aronson Assistant Professor of Political Science and International Studies at JHU, said during the university's briefing that these comments by U.S. officials "will likely embolden extremists on both sides" and prolong the conflict.Following Biden's remarks, Hezbollah said they will not back down and are "ready for confrontation," while the top leader of the Islamist armed organization Houthis in Yemen said that if the U.S. intervenes militarily in Gaza, they will send munitions and fighters to support Hamas.In efforts to deescalate the conflict, the U.S. could help mobilize other countries in the region, according to James Steinberg, the dean of the School of Advanced International Studies at JHU and former Deputy Secretary of State during the Obama administration."It's not that the United States itself is going to broker a resolution of this, but it can engage others, all of whom have a stake in not seeing the situation escalate," Steinberg said during the university's briefing, noting the discussions that have been taking place between the U.S. and Saudi Arabia, the UAE and others.Secretary of State Antony Blinken told reporters Thursday at a press conference in Israel that they are working with their partners in the region to ensure "that there will not be a second front or a third front."Steinberg said a wider war "can't be ruled out," and the effectiveness of the U.S.' response to deescalate is "uncertain" -- likening it to its support of Israel in 1973 during the Yom Kippur War."Here as then, the United States has limited impact and limited leverage," he said. "Perhaps even less so today than it did in 1973."。    K图 TSLA_0  特斯拉Cybercab定档9月3日发布,国内L3/L4智驾强制性国标也已获批,自动驾驶赛道迎来密集催化。机构普遍看好Robotaxi商业化拐点,产业链有望迎来红利期。
  特斯拉Cybercab即将发布  8月22日,特斯拉在X平台宣布,将于当地时间9月3日在奥斯汀举行Cybercab发布活动。据悉,Cybercab彻底取消方向盘、制动踏板和后视镜,采用两座布局,完全依赖特斯拉的FSD(全自动驾驶)系统来行驶。  业内预测,特斯拉或将在本次活动中官宣Cybercab加入Robotaxi服务车队。今年6月起,Cybercab已在包括奥斯汀在内的美国多地公共道路测试。目前,特斯拉Robotaxi业务覆盖七大区域,其中2州6城无监督运营,无监督驾驶累计超38万英里,累计付费里程接近250万英里。  国内政策面同样迎来利好。《智能网联汽车自动驾驶系统安全要求》强制性国家标准近日获批发布,拟于2027年7月1日起正式实施。这是首部针对L3级有条件自动驾驶和L4级高度自动驾驶系统的强制性国标,适用于搭载L3级、L4级系统的M类和N类车辆,为自动驾驶产品明确了统一的安全准入基线。  工信部数据显示,目前L2级组合驾驶辅助乘用车渗透率已达70.5%,领航驾驶辅助(NOA)渗透率达34.2%。Robotaxi商业化同样突飞猛进,8月18日,小马智行发布二季度财报,Robotaxi业务收入8192万元,同比增长691.2%,乘客车费收入同比激增849.3%,创历史最高单季涨幅。该公司近日还与Uber宣布扩大战略合作,计划在欧洲五城部署超2000辆Robotaxi。  机构看好L4商业化元年开启  自动驾驶是指通过感知系统、决策系统和执行系统,使车辆能够在特定场景下无需人类驾驶员干预而自主完成动态驾驶任务的技术。当前,自动驾驶正从技术验证加速迈向规模化商业落地。

二 |   据爱建证券推算,Cybercab通过去除方向盘、踏板等部件、采用小电池方案降低整车复杂度,并配合新生产工艺,单车成本已降至2.3万至2.5万美元级别,较同期美国网约车主流车型购置成本低约30%;量产运营成本约0.21至0.25美元/英里,接近传统网约车的20%,为Robotaxi盈利成立的核心支撑。  “2026年是中国智能驾驶从功能竞赛转向制度化商业落地的关键分水岭。”中信建投指出,随着L3从试点走向正式运行,L4相关技术不断成熟,产业坐标已切换至三条主线并行,其中,L4/Robotaxi在中美共振下迈入规模化验证阶段,Robotaxi、智驾芯片、激光雷达均有望充分受益。  在华金证券看来,智驾政策加速完善,L3/L4落地正式有法可依;城市NOA已走完“高端尝鲜”阶段,正式进入“全面普及+规模化渗透”的行业新周期,叠加技术路线不断收敛,逐渐向VLA和世界模型演进,高阶智驾发展迎来拐点,渗透率有望持续提升。  多只概念股业绩有望倍增  东方财富概念板块显示,目前A股市场有297股涉及智能驾驶概念,合计总市值约7.47万亿元。K图 BK0802_0  中际旭创市值达1.1万亿元居首,比亚迪以8248亿元位居次席,海康威视、潍柴动力、沪电股份体量分列三至五位,中国中车、中航成飞、长城汽车等5股市值均超千亿元。
  年初至今,智能驾驶概念板块整体走势偏弱,71股上涨、226股下跌。红板科技大涨393%领跑,光智科技涨近3.3倍排名第二,杰华特、长光华芯、泰晶科技等6股也已翻倍。下跌方面,江淮汽车、长安汽车、豪恩汽电、经纬恒润等多达83股均跌逾30%。

三 |   本月以来,板块走势有所回暖,共六成概念股录得股价上涨。金禄电子、东田微均大涨近七成,炬光科技涨幅达60%,腾景科技、光智科技等3股月内涨幅均超50%。下跌方面,江淮汽车、赛力斯、北汽蓝谷等7股跌超10%。

四 |   从资金角度看,东方财富Choice数据显示,本月以来,共有多达75只智能驾驶概念股获得超千万元融资净买入。  其中,景旺电子、芯原股份分别获杠杆资金加仓5.68亿、5.66亿元,潍柴动力、炬光科技分别获抢筹4.78亿、3.07亿元,睿创微纳、泰晶科技、宇瞳光学均获超2亿元融资净买入,聚辰股份、拓普集团、腾景科技、豪威集团等7股融资净买额均在1.2亿至1.7亿元之间。  未来增长潜力方面,根据3家及以上机构一致预测,共7只智能驾驶概念股2026年业绩有望翻倍增长。  其中,机构预计炬光科技净利同比大增2.7倍,中际旭创净利将增长超2倍,江淮汽车、睿创微纳等2股预测净利增幅均在1.4倍以上,天准科技、芯原股份、电连技术的业绩亦有望倍增。

五 | (文章来源:东方财富研究中心)。

六 |

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